Detailed long-term Elliott Wave count for ETC/USD on the daily chart. Analyzing the $6.75 target for wave (C) and the potential for a major bullish reversal.

Ethereum Classic (ETC) has been testing investor patience with a persistent downtrend. However, the perspective offered by Elliott Wave Theory suggests there is light at the end of the tunnel. Technical data demonstrates that the pair is in the final phase of a macro-scale "bottom formation" process.

Elliott Wave Analysis: Our daily chart count shows that after completing waves I and II, ETC experienced a deep decline in wave III. Following the wave IV corrective bounce, the final impulsive leg (wave V) is now unfolding, exhibiting its own 5-wave sub-structure.

Waves 3 and 4 of this final sequence are complete. We are now anticipating the conclusion of the 5th wave of wave (C), which will also mark the end of the larger (y) correction. The ultimate target for this move is $6.75. This area aligns perfectly with historical support levels and wave extension measurements.

Key Technical Summary:

  • Current Phase: Final sub-wave V of wave (C).

  • Primary Target: $6.75.

  • Bullish Invalidation: This bearish count remains active as long as the descending trendline is respected. A break above the recent wave 4 peak would signal early reversal signs.

Why It Matters: The $6.75 level is more than just a number; it is a "liquidity pool" where months of selling pressure could be exhausted, inviting institutional buyers back into the fold. The projection indicated by the red arrow on the chart anticipates a sharp bullish reversal from this zone.

Conclusion: The coming weeks are critical for ETC. Any further pullbacks toward $6.75 could represent the final piece of the Elliott Wave cycle according to our count. A high-volume reversal from this region would likely herald the beginning of a new long-term bullish trend.